In Focus

Economy

Staff Reporter

, Hong Kong

Published:

13 years ago

Inflation is likely to slow, expects analyst

Standard Chartered forecasts Hong Kong's CPI inflation at 5.6% in August.

According to StanChart, this is still elevated but considerably slower than in H1 2011.

Here’s more from StanChart:

Hong Kong – Inflation base effect normalised in August Hong Kong’s all-important CPI number will be announced today. Following a heavily distorted July release (inflation accelerated to 7.9% y/y from 5.6% in June because government concessions fell in different months this year and last), we expect the base effect to have normalised in August.

We forecast August CPI inflation at 5.6% – still elevated, but considerably slower than in H1-2011. The food and housing components remain on an uptrend in y/y terms, but this should be offset by the reintroduction of the electricity tariff subsidy. Overall, the August CPI reading should be the first step towards a gradual levelling-off of y/y CPI growth towards the year-end.

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